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Testing is now going to become very important. |
One has to wonder if Plainfield has seen a hopeful sign in the growth of coronavirus cases.
On Sunday evening (April 19), Mayor Mapp reported that the total of coronavirus cases had reached 940.
Based on the chart I developed yesterday (see here), this could be an inkling of good news.
Last night's total was 863. Last night was also the start of a new period of days to see when cases had doubled again.
If the pattern of doubling remained at 8 days, we would expect to reach approximately 1,726 cases on April 26. That would mean, on average, 108 new cases per day (based on the 4/10 to 4/18 changes).
With a total of 863 on 4/18, today's total might be expected to be 863+108 = 971.
What Mayor Mapp reports for today is 940. This is 31 fewer than might be expected on average.
If the trend continues, we would have a pretty strong indicator that Plainfield has topped out.
Be patient and watch carefully.
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